The Case for [insert name here] series
will take a look at various free agents or trade candidates that have
the potential to vastly improve the 2009 Milwaukee Brewers.
We will start with Melvin Mora.
Melvin has
essentially been on the trading block for the entire season, and MLB
Trade Rumors consistently pegs him as a player that could be moved
this winter. It would take a pretty good trade package to get him
out of Baltimore, but it certainly can be done.
Melvin would be a
big upgrade at the third base position. He had a horrid first half,
but couldn't have possibly been too much hotter in the second half.
Before the All-Star Break, Melvin could not hit the broad side of a
barn. His average was a putrid .233 with a .301 OBP – very Bill
Hall-esque, no?
In the second half
of the season, however, Mora simply went off to the tune of a .376
average and an on-base percentage of .417. That's quite the three
month hot streak. Can you imagine if Milwaukee had that bat in
September?
What if those
post-All Star Break numbers are misleading? They are, but so were
his first half numbers. His 10-year career numbers are right in the
middle of those two polar halves -- .280 BA, .355 OBP, .443 SLG with
a 110 OPS+. Those would easily
upgrade the Brewers offensively at third.
His defense is not spectacular, but it has largely been league
average throughout his career. Mora's career fielding percentage at
third base is .959, while the average percentage is .957. As I said,
not spectacular, but not bad either. It would be quite the
improvement over Hall's .939 fielding percentage.
Melvin Mora's contract is also team-friendly. He would be signed
through 2009 at $9 million, but there is a 2010 club option. Cot's
Baseball Contracts does not provide the information as to how much
that option is worth, but one can imagine it would probably be around
$10 million. That's essentially replacing Eric Gagne in the
payroll.
There are a couple things not to like about Mora, however.
His age is getting to be a concern. Melvin will be 37 next season,
but his numbers in 2008 seem to say that there will not be too much
of a drop-off simply because of age. That is comforting to an
extent, but it is something to keep an eye on regarding Mora in a
trade.
The other concern is rather minor. I would like to see the Milwaukee
Brewers get another left-handed bat in the lineup, and Melvin Mora is
a right-handed hitter. That situation can easily be addressed in
other places throughout the lineup, but it is, again, just something
to be cognizant of when making personnel moves.
What would it take to get Melvin Mora to Milwaukee?
The Baltimore Orioles would almost certainly be open to a package
involving prospects, but they would demand Alcides Escobar in
the deal. Baltimore attempted to pry Escobar loose this summer in a
deal centered around George Sherrill, but Doug Melvin didn't
bite. Melvin could, however, build a package around someone like
Zach Braddock or Cole Gillespie. It would be quantity
in that case then, as neither of those players are impact prospects.
This, obviously, is probably not the route Melvin would go in
acquiring Melvin Mora from the Orioles.
J.J. Hardy
would absolutely get Mora to Milwaukee, but the Orioles would
have to include something else in the package. Could Doug Melvin get
the Orioles to include someone like Jeremy Guthrie
in the deal? How about someone under the radar like reliever Jim
Johnson? This would improve
the Crew at third base quite a bit and on the mound with Guthrie or
Johnson, but the Brewers would be losing production at shortstop.
Alcides Escobar looks
to be good, but not Hardy good. At least, not in 2009.
What about Rickie Weeks? Could the Brewers move J.J. Hardy to
second and plug Escobar in at shortstop? If the Orioles traded Brian
Roberts prior to this move, this deal could become a distinct
possibility. Baltimore would be in need of a second baseman, and
Peter Angelos does like Weeks' potential. The problem then becomes
whether or not Weeks is enough to get Mora. Weeks is cheaper and has
the potential to be an All-Star second baseman, all while the Orioles
could dump salary in their efforts to rebuild. It may not be enough,
however, and the Orioles are not an easy team to deal with in a
trade.
The Brewers infield could potentially look like this:
1B Prince Fielder
2B J.J. Hardy
SS Alcides Escobar
3B Melvin Mora
That wouldn't be too bad, would it?
That's the case for Melvin Mora. Would you do it? Which
trade package would you prefer?