SportsBubbler.com



Expect the unexpected?

There has been a lot already made of Manager Ned Yost's decision to bat catcher Jason Kendall 9th this year, moving the pitcher up a spot to hitting 8th. The move is backed by analysis done by some in the Sabermetric community as having the potential to add a few runs over the course of a season. However, outside of some flirting done by Tony LaRussa when his teams were fringe contenders at best, no manager has had the juevos to actually try this in the midst of a pennant race.

Another topic along these lines that readily pops to mind is the way in which "closers" are used in the modern game. The model established by Tony LaRussa in the late 1980's with the Oakland A's is that a manager should use a series of relievers after a starter is pulled from a game, often taking advantage of match-ups, to be able to hand the lead to the teams best reliever or "closer" who almost exclusively pitches in the 9th, or maybe comes in for 4 or 5 outs on occasion. Many people, Sabermetircally inclined or otherwise, have pointed out that there are times when saving ones best reliever for the 9th inning while allowing a lesser reliever to blow a lead in the 7th isn't the best use of resources. But managers stick to this LaRussian model because it is the accepted way of managing.

This all begs several related questions: Should a manager use information gleaned from statistical analysis or otherwise like this, even if it falls well outside of the accepted orthodoxy of how you run a baseball team?  Perhaps even more relevant to a fan: Should a fan be able to expect that a manager would use this information to try to get an edge over opponents, even if it means breaking with the accepted norms?

What do you think?

Comments

 

Steves Stoners said:

I think what will allow Ned Yost to make this switch is that he is trying it during the preseason and there has been much made about it.  This has allowed many of the baseball experts and those involved with the media to analyze this and come to a general consensus that it will work well.  The problem will probably come from the casual fan who wouldn't have done the legwork to know the statistics behind Yost's move.  But Yost has to answer to ALL his fans not just the extremely dedicated so if things aren't going well and Kendall is struggling or Weeks near the top, casual fan will think that this might be the reason and Yost will get a lot of crap for it.  But no one complains over success so early positive results will bode well and maybe other coaches (who have the right personel to) will change and it will help snap that norm.  I like the idea and it seems from what I've seen that it should be positive but ultimately relatively harmless of an experiment other than fan reactions to it.

March 23, 2008 12:15 AM
 

Ryan Topp said:

I think you're on to something here. As I pointed out, the benefits of this will probably be less apparent than the downside, especially to the casual fan. Every time a the pitcher hits with two outs and runners on, questions will crop up.

Ultimately, managers who have built up credibility with the fanbase and media are those best positioned to innovate. That is definitely not Ned Yost, so he is sticking his neck out on this one.

March 23, 2008 1:25 AM

About This Blog

Between the Green Pillars is a statistically informed fan blog covering the Milwaukee Brewers at both the major and minor league level.

Become a fan of Between The Green Pillars on Facebook.

Recent Posts

Advertisement

Syndication