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April 2008 - Posts

  • Mike Cameron Shakes Things Up

    Coming into Tuesday night's game against the Chicago Cubs, a common sentiment echoed by Brewer fans on the web and on the radio was the hope that Mike Cameron's return from suspension might somehow change the dynamic on offense. Well, the early returns on that are certainly promising. Cameron went 3 for 5 with a double and a walk, which was certainly helpful in it's own right. Even more encouraging was the fact that the other hitters managed to pound out 14 additional hits (3 more doubles and a triple) and took 3 more walks, scoring 10 runs in all on a cold night with the wind blowing in at Wrigley. Even more encouraging is the fact that all of this was done almost exclusively off of right handed pitchers, with only one walk issues to a southpaw.

    Of course, it is too early to say that this is the end of the prolonged hitting slump for the Brewers lineup. Even if it is, it's not really going to be possible to point to Mike Cameron's return as the cause of this with any sort of certainty. After all, the Brewers spent much of the last home stand hitting balls hard, but right at fielders. Often that sort of performance precedes a breakout on both a team and individual basis. All I can really say with any certainty is that it feels good to get the offense going again.

  • Brewers Opponents Starters ERA

    A friend of mine pointed out to me that the Brewers have seen quite a few good starting pitchers to this point in the season, which might go somewhat to explain some of the offensive problems so far. Here is a list of the starters the Brewers have faced and their ERA's as of the end of play Saturday:

    Carlos Zambrano             2.21
    Ted Lilly                         7.30
    Jason Marquis                2.90 
    Jonathan Sanchez          3.54
    Kevin Correia                 4.50
    Barry Zito                      5.61
    Aaron Harang (twice)      2.76
    Johnny Cueto (twice)      4.05
    Bronson Arroyo             7.56
    Josh Fogg                    10.80
    Johan Santana              3.12
    Oliver Perez                  3.62
    Nelson Figueroa            4.05
    Braden Looper               4.05
    Adam Wainright (twice)  2.54
    Kyle Lohse (twice)         2.79
    Cole Hamels                 2.75
    Jamie Moyer                 4.05
    Scott Olson                  2.06
    Mark Hendrickson         3.68
    Ricky Nolasco              5.91

    10 of 25 starts versus players with a sub 3 ERA
    14 of 25 starts versus player with a sub 4 ERA
    5 of 25 starts versus a player with an ERA over 5

    Of course, there are some statistical issues here. It is early enough in the season that the Brewers performance against these guys, especially those players they have faced twice, can be heavily influenced the overall numbers. The Brewers have preformed fairly well against some of those "good" pitchers on this list and poorly against some of the "bad" ones.

    Ultimately, the offense is going to have to pick up their performance. Still, it is somewhat comforting to know that they're mostly being shut down by guys who are having success versus other teams as well.

  • Waiting Out a Team Slump

    It's hard to say which is worse for fans to endure: A team struggling to score runs while pitching alright or a team hitting the ball but unable to consistently win because the pitching can't hold opponents down. As a fan, there is little you can do but look at the facts and try to figure out what is going to happen next based on what has happened in the past.

    In the case of this year's team, most fans realize that there are a good number of players on offense who have yet to play up to their ability. But with every passing game that doesn't see some major breakout, more and more doubt creeps in that a breakout is coming. The frustration builds and people panic.

    There is nothing for a fan to do but sit back and try not to be aggravated by the ride. Of course the players will worry, and work to make adjustments to achieve the turnaround. That turnaround will almost certainly come, because the players have shown in the past that they are better than they are currently playing. We all just have to wait for it, as annoying as that is.

  • The Turnbow Problem

    Something has become abundantly clear: there is no longer space for Derrick Turnbow on the Milwaukee Brewers roster. Don't get me wrong, he's not all bad. He is capable of being very dominant at times, and can convert leads at a reasonable rate. He can surely be put to use as a setup man on a good number of major league teams.

    The problem is that manager Ned Yost clearly does not trust Turnbow to pitch in close games. Until Monday, Yost had yet to put him in a situation where the team was tied or ahead, though he could have done so literally dozens of times. He was right here, because it seems clear to me that David Riske, Salomon Torres, Guillermo Mota and Brain Shouse are all better options than Turnbow on any given day, at least at this point. Given his history, there is a good chance that this situation where Turnbow is well down the pecking order at any given time is likely to persist.

    Not every pitcher in the pen needs to be able to be trusted in tough situations. There is room for a mop up guy, even in a good pen. The thing about being a mop up guy for a good team is that he needs to be able to soak up innings on the comparatively rare occasion when he is called on. Turnbow is simply not capable of doing this. This leaves him in no mans land and unable to pitch his share of innings for the team. As a result, other pitchers in the pen will have to be overworked to compensate for his lack of usage. As was noted here, that has already begun to happen.

    A contending team will play a lot of close games. The Brewers need to put in pitchers it is reasonably certain it can trust in these games. If a pitcher cannot be trusted in those situations, he needs to eat big chunks of innings in games that are not particularly close to take the pressure off the rest of the pen. Turnbow is not capable of the latter and cannot be trusted to do the former. Thus, there is no longer a role for him on the Milwaukee Brewers.

  • A Professional Baseball Team

    Saturdays Brewers-Reds game game provided a great contrast in how teams handle adversity. Both teams were dealing with a very inconsistent and strange strike zone by home plate umpire Hunter Wendelstedt. The Brewers, most notably Corey Hart, did complain and argue balls and strikes a bit in the game. But the Cincinnati Reds reaction resulted in several ejections and quite a few arguments with Blue over an assortment of things. This is the sort of reaction that the Brewers would have had last year, especially on the road. But they let the Reds implode and sat by watching the whole thing very calmly.

    The Brewers also did something that they rarely did last year, namely they weathered a blown lead and still managed to win the game. The hitters didn't panic and start swinging at everything after Brain Shouse gave up the lead on a pop fly home run to Joey Votto. Instead they became more patient and allowed the Reds frustration and anger to get them in trouble, and sure enough it did. Bill Hall's AB in the 10th was a very astute reading of Weathers inability to challenge him inside. He waited for his pitch on the outside corner and dropped the head of the bat on the ball and was happy to take it the other way.

    Jeff Suppan did what a solid veteran is supposed to do: when his team needed innings, he gave them and probably could have given more. Guillermo Mota and Eric Gagne took perfect advantage of the fact that the outside strike was being called and gave the Reds hitters a steady diet of unhittable "strikes" off the corner.

    It is still very early on in the season, and there will be days when Bill Hall tires to pull that ball in the 10th and Gagne hangs a pitch where he shouldn't. But it was still very nice to see a throughly professional game played by the Brewers and it is reason to hope that they can do that more often. 

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Between the Green Pillars is a statistically informed fan blog covering the Milwaukee Brewers at both the major and minor league level

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