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Black Friday

Time to assess the damage from the first really ugly day of the season:

* Losing Yovani Gallardo almost certainly for the season obviously hurts. A lot. Gallardo had already established himself as a very good number 2 starter behind Ben Sheets. That one-two was arguably the best top pair in the division, and Gallardo himself represented some serious Ben Sheets Injury insurance, which feels like more of a necessity than a luxury.  All that is gone now, and what the team is left with is a fragile Ace in Ben Sheets, and overpaid inning eater who doesn't eat quite enough innings in Jeff Suppan, a guy who has yet to live up to his peripherals in Dave Bush, a young pitcher still sorting out his command issues in Manny Parra and....

* Starter Carlos Villanueva is starting to live up to all that talk that his stuff would be over-exposed starting full time and that he would be best suited to a relief role:

First time through the order in 2008: (.170/.278/.340/.618)

Second time through the order in 2008: (.294/.333/.451/.784)

Third time and more through the order in 2008: (.439/.442/.878/1.320)

Giving up back to back to back homers the third time through the order throws those 3+ numbers out of whack a bit, because we're still looking at a fairly small sample. Still, those numbers scream to me "long reliever-spot starter"  but unfortunately the injuries to Capuano and now Gallardo and the dismissal of Claudio Vargas leaves the team with no better option to replace Villanueva in the rotation than Jeff Weaver, and he isn't even ready yet.

* As if all of that wasn't enough, the offense is now officially falling back to earth hitting with runners in scoring position after getting off to a blistering start to the year that was wholly unsustainable. The Brewers left 12 runners on base last night, three times leaving the bases loaded.

 

Add all of that up, and you have a recipe for a very nasty day. The news that Gallardo had gone down was then pushed aside by a wholly frustrating game. Lets hope there aren't too many more days like Friday, May 2nd this season.  

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Between the Green Pillars is a statistically informed fan blog covering the Milwaukee Brewers at both the major and minor league level

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