In the classic textbook for battle, Sun Tzu advised readers of "The Art of War" to know your enemy. This lesson can translate into NFL success. Every division winner in 2008 posted a winning divisional record, including Super Bowl participants Pittsburgh and Arizona, both of whom went unbeaten in division play. Miami and San Diego clinched division titles with intradivisional wins in Week 17 of last season. It's a simple formula: to be successful in the NFL, you must win within your division and to do that, you must know your enemy.
The Detroit Lions are no threat to win the NFC North but after an 0-16 debacle in '08 there's no place to go but up. Detroit has put together a trio of young talent that could be the cornerstone for years to come.
There's serious talk out of Detroit that overall number one pick Matthew Stafford will start at quarterback right out of the gate. Atlanta and Baltimore succeeded last year with rookie QBs but both teams had two things going for them that the Lions don't: good defense and a solid offensive line.
Detroit gave up a bone-crunching 52 sacks last season, more than three sacks per game on average. If the Lions are going to throw Stafford into the fire right away, they'd better keep him upright. Surprisingly, the Lions chose not to upgrade the offensive line either through free agency or the draft. Instead, the Lions are looking for development from young players like tackle Gosder Cherilus.
Despite being ranked toward the bottom of nearly every major offensive category, the Lions had two bright spots. Rookie running back Kevin Smith gained nearly 1,000 yards and did so at a clip of 4.1 yards per carry. Smith also caught 39 passes for 286 yards. Second year wide receiver Calvin Johnson recorded 12 touchdowns and 1,331 receiving yards in a breakout season. Combine those two with the offseason acquisition of Bryant Johnson and fellow first rounder Brandon Pettigrew and Stafford will have plenty of options to throw to, but of course that's provided he'll have time to throw.
For as bad as Detroit was offensively they were far worse on defense. For starters, there was a complete lack of playmakers. The Lions snared only four interceptions in 2008. Granted, teams didn't have to throw that often but the Lions intercepted opposing QBs on less than 1% of attempts thrown. By comparison, the Packers picked off passes at a rate of 4%. The only thing Detroit had going for them was getting to the quarterback. The Lions had 30 sacks and recovered 16 fumbles but despite that the Lions had a turnover margin of -9.
But unlike the offensive line, the Lions were aggressive in upgrading the defense. Detroit went after each phase of the defense in free agency with cornerback Phillip Buchanon, defensive tackle Grady Jackson and linebacker Larry Foote. The Lions also traded for linebacker Julian Peterson. Rebuilding the defense is a work in progress but those moves should go a long way in helping a unit that ranked last in both total and scoring defense.
There's no way Detroit goes 0-16 again but don't expect a Miami-like turnaround for the Lions in 2009. During the 1-15 disaster of 2007 the Dolphins were hampered by numerous injuries but despite that Miami lost six games by three points or less. To be sure, Detroit had injuries in '08 but the Lions weren't nearly as competitive, with only one loss by three points or less. First year coach Jim Schwartz has his hands full as the Lions begin another rebuilding project. But with an improved defense and an offense that looks much better than it did last year at this time, Schwartz should be able to lead the Lions to their first win since December 23, 2007.