Best/worst case scenarios for Packer quarterbacks

Before the season began, we did our annual best and worst case scenarios for the entire Packer training camp roster. It's fun to take a look back and see how we did. First we'll take a look back at what we wrote before the season, and then give our take after the season. It's kind of our version of post-season assessment.

  • Aaron Rodgers – A good performance in the preseason opener was followed by a subpar performance in the second exhibition game, so it’s hard to know what to expect. A lot of fans are expecting Rodgers to go through quite a learning experience in his first season as a starter. But think back just a couple seasons ago when Ben Roethlisberger showed that rookie quarterbacks can succeed in the NFL when the Steelers won a Super Bowl. It’s Rodgers’ first year as a starter, but it’s his fourth year as a pro – three more years experience more than Roethlisberger had when the Steelers won it all. Best case, Rodgers shows why some considered him as the top overall pick in the ’05 draft. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that Rodgers makes the NFC Pro Bowl squad. Maybe not likely, but possible. Worst case, Rodgers’ play lets the Packers know they made the wrong choice for letting go of Brett Favre. Even if he plays poorly, Rodgers is the starter almost all year long, although his play could have the Packers thinking it’ll be time to go with Brian Brohm in ’09.

Rodgers: Somewhere inbetween. Rodgers did very well this season. He finished among the top 10 in most statistical categories for all NFL quarterbacks. And a big part of that was because he stayed healthy all season long. People were worried about his durability coming into the season, but Rodgers showed a resolve that few people knew. Rodgers most telling statistic this season? ZERO come from behind victories. He didn't show the drive or leadership that can will a team to victory in the fourth quarter, maybe in a two minute drill type situation. However, Rodgers was not the reason the Packers struggled this season as most people know. If he can improve as much in his second season as a full-time starter as he did in his first, the Packers should be in better shape.

  • Brian Brohm – Brohm’s spotty play thus far through training camp has many people calling for Matt Flynn to become the No. 2 quarterback on the Packers’ roster. Upon closer examination, there are reasons for Brohm’s struggles. Brohm has been under unusually heavy pressure. Being the exhibition season, teams are blitzing more than they usually do for experimentation sake. For example, against San Francisco Brohm was blitzed on over 30% of all the snaps he played. Matt Flynn? Zero percent. Do you think that makes a difference? Flynn has also played against third string defenses. Brohm has by no means played well, but criticizing him may be overrated. Best case, Brohm holds onto the No. 2 spot and only sees the playing field when the Packers are blowing out opponents. And in a best case scenario, that will hopefully be more often than not. Worst case, Brohm becomes a wasted second round draft choice when a seventh rounder proves for valuable as a developmental project.

Brohm: Worst case. After one season, Brohm looks like a wasted second round pick when Matt Flynn became the top backup to Rodgers all season long. Brohm will get a pass because he's only a rookie, but he has to show marked improvement in the '09 season. The only way he'll do that is to play well in the exhibition season and overtake the top backup job to Rodgers for the entire '09 season.

  • Matt Flynn – All the rhetoric above that called the Brohm-bashing overrated shouldn’t discount the fact that Flynn has been a pleasant surprise for being a seventh round choice. He’s played well and he may even be able to flourish in an offense that doesn’t ask a ton from its quarterback. Of course, maybe that’s why he played well at LSU and why maybe he won’t in the NFL. Best case, Flynn’s steady play sees him being promoted to the top backup position, and he just doesn’t relinquish his hold on it. Worst case, Flynn becomes the next Ingle Martin when the Packers decide that there must be better players out there worth developing.

Flynn: Best case. For a seventh round choice, the Packers got a heck of a deal. Flynn is better than most people believe. Check out his collegiate post-season achievements. In addition to being named the offensive MVP of the 2008 National Championship game against Ohio State he was also named the offensive MVP of the 2005 Chick-fil-A Bowl when he led LSU to a 40-3 rout over Miami after being the backup quarterback all season long. Is he an NFL starting caliber quarterback? I doubt it. But the Packers did get good value in their seventh round draft pick.

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This is the place for those of you who can't get enough Green Bay Packers news! Updates will be provided frequently from the view of a "railbird." We go to the practices and scan the local media so you don't have to.

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