Against the Spread: week 12 edition

Last week was a bummer with three star pick Cincinnati covering the spread with just minutes remaining until giving up a touchdown with less than a minute remaining to lose the bet. With only a few weeks of the college football schedule remaining, there's not much time left to make up ground. We press on...

Three star pick - Bet one Schrute buck - Boise State -23 at Utah State

Be aware that this is a Friday night game. There's still an outside chance that Boise State can get into the BCS Championship game by winning out and praying for Texas to lose. But they only way they're going to sway the voters is to blow out every single opponent by as much as possible. They beat a decent Idaho team with a winning record last weekend by 38 points. Even though they're playing on the road, the Broncos face a much weaker Utah State team. Plus they're playing on national television in front of BCS voters. There's no reason Boise State shouldn't blow the Aggies out of the water. The stats would seem to support the Broncos as well. They're 15-4 against the spread in all games over the last two seasons including going 9-1 following a conference game.

Two star pick - Bet one Stanley nickel - Stanford -7 vs. Cal

There's an outside chance that Stanford can still win the Pac-10 with a loss by Oregon so they should be motivated. Playing at home, the Cardinal is especially motivated. Stanford is 10-0 ATS at home the past two seasons. There's very little reason to think that trend is going to change against a Cal team without their star player, running back Jahvid Best. Besides, among those 10 home win ATS, seven of them were against teams with winning records.

One star pick - Bet one Pam penny? - Temple -12 1/2 vs. Kent State

Kent State has had a better than expected season, but so has Temple. And no offense to Kent, but the type of season that Temple is having dwarfs that of the Golden Flashes. Under wonder coach Al Golden, the Owls have a win over Navy that's looking pretty good right about now. And if they want a guaranteed ticket to a bowl game for the first time since 1979, they need to keep winning. And Temple is 22-10 ATS over the past three seasons including going 13-4 ATS on grass over the same time frame. 

Extra pick - Air Force +10 at BYU

Going into Provo isn't going to be easy, but Air Force doesn't have to win the game. They just have to keep things to a single digit difference, which they're more than capable of. Air Force is 22-11 ATS in all games over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, BYU is 1-9 ATS coming off a win against a conference rival the past two years.

Record on the year:

Three star picks 6-4

All starred picks 13-16-1

Extra picks 5-4-1

Overall 18-20-2

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