After a tough roadtrip, Weeks' is waking up at Miller Park:
Road trip: 39 PA, 5 H/32 AB, 2 HR; 11 K/5 BB; 2 HBP; .156/.308/.344
Homestand: 19 PA, 4 H/14 AB, 2 2B, 1 3B, 0 HR; 3 K/5 BB; 0 HBP; .286/.474/.571
Regardless of this jump in production, there are some interesting trends that suggest that even though he is not hitting well overall right now, he is headed in the right direction:
-20 K in 100 PA (20%) is a better % than his career 330 K in 1447 PA (23%), and his 2007 campaign, which had 116 K in 506 PA (23%).
-His XBH% is stable from 2007, and both his 2007 and 2008 XBH% are better than his career XBH%:
Career: 105 XBH in 300 H (35%)
2007: 43 XBH in 96 H (45%)
2008: 7 XBH in 16 H (44%)
-His HR% is up thus far: 3 HR in 16 H puts Weeks around 19% HR, vs. 16 in 96 in 2007 (17%), and 40 in 300 for his career (13%)
-Weeks is maintaining his career walk rate, which is off his 2007 campaign, but better than each of his previous seasons:
Career: 162 BB in 1447 PA (11%)
2005: 40 BB in 414 PA (9%)
2006: 30 BB in 413 PA (7%)
2007: 78 BB in 506 PA (15%)
2008: 13 BB in 100 PA (13%)
-All that is left to fall into place is the hits: 16% H/PA in 2008 (16/100), Against 19% H/PA in 2007 (96/506), 24% H/PA in 2006 (100/413), and 21% H/PA in 2005 (86/414).
If Weeks even recovers his 2007 hit % in 700 PA in 2008, and maintains everything else, here is his raw projection:
700 PA, 581 AB, 133 H, 25 2B, 8 3B, 25 HR, 140 K/91 BB; 28 HBP; .229/.360/.429
If Weeks can raise his hit % to somewhere between his 2005 and 2006 levels (22%), and everything else remains the same, here is his projection:
700 PA, 581 AB, 154 H, 29 2B, 10 3B, 29 HR, 140 K/91 BB; 28 HBP; .265/.390/.499
Right now, I think a jump from his current H/PA% to his 2007 level would be enough of a success; but, if Weeks can push the hits up more (6 more hits per 100 PA), everything could come together for a very good season.