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Interesting Favre simulation
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malaisej


- Joined on 04-20-2009
- Posts 63
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Re: Interesting Favre simulation
ike1024:
malaisej:
ike1024:
Well, it's actuallt 2300 or so with Favre.
They actually have MN favored in 15 of the 16 games (only not favored against AZ).
In week 7 Minny is AT Pittsburgh, I would be shocked if the Steelers would be less than a 3 point favorite. My guess would be Steelers -4.5.
Did the sim miss that game? Or did it have the Vikings favored?
Without Favre, it has MN winning 55% of the time with an average score 18-18.
With Favre, it has MN winning 51% of the time with an average score 18-18.
It seems like the engine really thinks that whatever Favre does above TJ and Sage, that it will be canceled out by his turnovers (especially against high TO defenses) and the decrease in running game. No idea if that's true obviously, but it's interesting that an unbiased computer comes out that way.
EDIT: They have the Steelers 2nd in their initial power rankings and MN 8th (the Packers are 25th and the sim is clearly not a fan of the defense). It must like how the Vikings match up with the Steelers, which actually makes some sense, even though the Steelers are probably the better overall team.
Either way, it is an interesting site, that I have checked out from time to time. Since it is computer based there are a lot of things it cannot consider, but it serves its purpose in entertainment value.
I still find it odd that it would have the Vikings favored. I would assume it would take something out of the ordinary for it to favor a team lower in its ratings over another, especially when the teams were separated by 6 spots in its own rating, and the Steelers are home.
Are the Vikes favored over Carolina also? The site must like the Vikings more than their own ratings indicate.
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jimmythegreek


- Joined on 01-13-2008
- Vegas Baby
- Posts 1,516
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Re: Interesting Favre simulation
malaisej:
ike1024:
Well, it's actuallt 2300 or so with Favre.
They actually have MN favored in 15 of the 16 games (only not favored against AZ).
In week 7 Minny is AT Pittsburgh, I would be shocked if the Steelers would be less than a 3 point favorite. My guess would be Steelers -4.5.
Did the sim miss that game? Or did it have the Vikings favored?
Here ya go. Steelers - 5 1/2
| Copyright 2009 GamingToday |
|
NFL LINES c/o ‘M’ Resort |
|
WEEK 2, Sunday, Sept. 20 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
TITANS |
5½ |
texans |
|
FALCONS |
2½ |
panthers |
|
Vikings |
6 |
LIONS |
|
JAGUARS |
2 |
cardinals |
|
CHIEFS |
5 |
raiders |
|
EAGLES |
5½ |
saints |
|
PACKERS |
5½ |
bengals |
|
REDSKINS |
7 |
rams |
|
Patriots |
6 |
NY JETS |
|
BILLS |
3½ |
bucs |
|
49ERS |
2 |
seahawks |
|
CHARGERS |
4½ |
ravens |
|
Steelers |
2½ |
BEARS |
|
BRONCOS |
4 |
browns |
|
COWBOYS |
2 |
giants |
|
Monday, Sept. 21 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Colts |
2½ |
DOLPHINS |
|
WEEK 3, Sunday, Sept. 27 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
EAGLES |
9 |
chiefs |
|
Redskins |
4½ |
LIONS |
|
Packers |
3 |
RAMS |
|
VIKINGS |
6 |
49ers |
|
Titans |
2 |
JETS |
|
Steelers |
5½ |
BENGALS |
|
PATRIOTS |
7½ |
falcons |
|
TEXANS |
3½ |
jaguars |
|
Giants |
4 |
BUCS |
|
RAVENS |
7½ |
browns |
|
SEAHAWKS |
1 |
bears |
|
BILLS |
1 |
saints |
|
CHARGERS |
7 |
dolphins |
|
RAIDERS |
PK |
broncos |
|
CARDINALS |
1 |
colts |
|
Monday, Sept. 28 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
COWBOYS |
4 |
panthers |
|
WEEK 4, Sunday, Oct. 4 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
REDSKINS |
5 |
bucs |
|
PATRIOTS |
7½ |
ravens |
|
Titans |
1½ |
JAGUARS |
|
TEXANS |
8 |
raiders |
|
BROWNS |
3 |
bengals |
|
COLTS |
9 |
seahawks |
|
Giants |
4½ |
CHIEFS |
|
BEARS |
9½ |
lions |
|
DOLPHINS |
3 |
bills |
|
SAINTS |
5½ |
jets |
|
49ERS |
4½ |
rams |
|
Cowboys |
2½ |
BRONCOS |
|
STEELERS |
3½ |
chargers |
|
Monday, Oct. 5 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
VIKINGS |
4½ |
packers |
|
WEEK 5, Sunday, Oct. 11 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
RAVENS |
8 |
bengals |
|
EAGLES |
7½ |
bucs |
|
BILLS |
5½ |
browns |
|
Steelers |
7½ |
LIONS |
|
PANTHERS |
4½ |
redskins |
|
Cowboys |
3½ |
CHIEFS |
|
GIANTS |
11 |
Raiders |
|
Vikings |
3½ |
RAMS |
|
49ERS |
1 |
falcons |
|
CARDINALS |
3½ |
texans |
|
Patriots |
5 |
BRONCOS |
|
SEAHAWKS |
1 |
jaguars |
|
TITANS |
2 |
colts |
|
Monday, Oct. 12 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
DOLPHINS |
3 |
jets |
|
WEEK 6, Sunday, Oct. 18 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
JAGUARS |
7 |
rams |
|
REDSKINS |
5½ |
chiefs |
|
TEXANS |
2½ |
bengals |
|
VIKINGS |
2½ |
ravens |
|
PACKERS |
9 |
lions |
|
STEELERS |
8½ |
browns |
|
Panthers |
2½ |
BUCS |
|
SAINTS |
1 |
giants |
|
Cardinals |
1 |
SEAHAWKS |
|
Eagles |
6 |
RAIDERS |
|
JETS |
2½ |
bills |
|
PATRIOTS |
7 |
titans |
|
FALCONS |
3 |
bears |
|
Monday, Oct. 19 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
CHARGERS |
8½ |
broncos |
|
WEEK 7, Sunday, Oct. 25 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Colts |
7 |
RAMS |
|
STEELERS |
5½ |
vikings |
|
Patriots |
9 |
BUCS |
|
Bears |
2 |
BENGALS |
|
Chargers |
4 |
CHIEFS |
|
Packers |
1½ |
BROWNS |
|
TEXANS |
5½ |
49ers |
|
PANTHERS |
5½ |
bills |
|
Jets |
1½ |
RAIDERS |
|
COWBOYS |
4 |
falcons |
|
DOLPHINS |
PK |
saints |
|
GIANTS |
7 |
cardinals |
|
Monday, Oct. 26 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Eagles |
1½ |
REDSKINS |
|
WEEK 8, Sunday, Nov. 1 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
COWBOYS |
7 |
seahawks |
|
BILLS |
2½ |
texans |
|
PACKERS |
2½ |
vikings |
|
LIONS |
1 |
rams |
|
JETS |
2 |
dolphins |
|
COLTS |
9½ |
49ers |
|
BEARS |
6½ |
browns |
|
RAVENS |
7 |
broncos |
|
TITANS |
6½ |
jaguars |
|
CHARGERS |
10½ |
raiders |
|
EAGLES |
3½ |
giants |
|
CARDINALS |
2½ |
panthers |
|
Monday, Nov. 2 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
SAINTS |
3½ |
falcons |
|
WEEK 9, Sunday, Nov. 8 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Ravens |
4 |
BENGALS |
|
PATRIOTS |
9½ |
dolphins |
|
JAGUARS |
5½ |
chiefs |
|
BUCS |
1½ |
packers |
|
FALCONS |
4 |
redskins |
|
BEARS |
4 |
cardinals |
|
COLTS |
6½ |
texans |
|
SAINTS |
3 |
panthers |
|
SEAHAWKS |
7½ |
lions |
|
Titans |
2½ |
49ERS |
|
GIANTS |
3½ |
chargers |
|
EAGLES |
3½ |
cowboys |
|
Monday, Nov. 9 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Steelers |
4 |
BRONCOS |
|
WEEK 10, Thursday, Nov. 12 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
49ERS |
1 |
bears |
|
Sunday, Nov. 15 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
VIKINGS |
9½ |
lions |
|
REDSKINS |
4 |
broncos |
|
DOLPHINS |
5½ |
bucs |
|
TITANS |
5½ |
bills |
|
SAINTS |
4½ |
rams |
|
JETS |
2½ |
jaguars |
|
PANTHERS |
3 |
falcons |
|
STEELERS |
9½ |
bengals |
|
RAIDERS |
1 |
chiefs |
|
PACKERS |
1½ |
cowboys |
|
CHARGERS |
3 |
eagles |
|
CARDINALS |
4 |
seahawks |
|
Patriots |
2 |
COLTS |
|
Monday, Nov. 16 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Ravens |
3½ |
BROWNS |
|
WEEK 11, Thursday, Nov. 19 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
PANTHERS |
4½ |
dolphins |
|
Sunday, Nov. 22 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Steelers |
5 |
CHIEFS |
|
RAVENS |
2 |
colts |
|
PACKERS |
5½ |
49ers |
|
JAGUARS |
3 |
bills |
|
GIANTS |
5½ |
falcons |
|
BUCS |
2½ |
saints |
|
Browns |
3 |
LIONS |
|
COWBOYS |
5½ |
redskins |
|
VIKINGS |
5½ |
seahawks |
|
Cardinals |
3 |
RAMS |
|
PATRIOTS |
9½ |
jets |
|
Chargers |
3 |
BRONCOS |
|
RAIDERS |
PK |
bengals |
|
BEARS^t |
1 |
eagles |
|
Monday, Nov. 23 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
TEXANS |
2 |
titans |
|
WEEK 12, Thursday, Nov. 26 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Packers |
5 |
LIONS |
|
COWBOYS |
8½ |
raiders |
|
Giants |
3½ |
BRONCOS |
|
Sunday, Nov. 29 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
BILLS |
2½ |
dolphins |
|
RAMS |
PK |
seahawks |
|
EAGLES |
5½ |
redskins |
|
FALCONS |
5½ |
bucs |
|
TITANS |
5 |
cardinals |
|
Colts |
1 |
TEXANS |
|
BENGALS |
3 |
browns |
|
VIKINGS |
3½ |
bears |
|
Panthers |
1 |
NY^tJETS |
|
CHARGERS |
8½ |
chiefs |
|
49ERS |
1½ |
jaguars |
|
RAVENS |
1 |
steelers |
|
Monday, Nov. 30 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Patriots |
3½ |
SAINTS |
|
WEEK 13, Thursday, Dec. 3 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
BILLS |
3 |
jets |
|
Sunday, Dec. 6 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
BEARS |
7½ |
rams |
|
PANTHERS |
6½ |
bucs |
|
JAGUARS |
2 |
texans |
|
CHIEFS |
2 |
broncos |
|
COLTS |
4 |
titans |
|
FALCONS |
1 |
eagles |
|
REDSKINS |
1 |
saints |
|
STEELERS |
11 |
raiders |
|
BENGALS |
6 |
lions |
|
Chargers |
3½ |
BROWNS |
|
GIANTS |
4 |
cowboys |
|
SEAHAWKS |
3½ |
49ers |
|
CARDINALS |
2½ |
Vikings |
|
Patriots |
5 |
DOLPHINS |
|
Monday, Dec. 7 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
PACKERS |
1½ |
ravens |
|
WEEK 14, Thursday, Dec. 10 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog^t |
|
Steelers |
5½ |
BROWNS |
|
Sunday, Dec. 13 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
FALCONS |
2½ |
saints |
|
COLTS |
8½ |
broncos |
|
TEXANS |
6 |
seahawks |
|
PATRIOTS |
7½ |
panthers |
|
CHIEFS |
1 |
bills |
|
RAVENS |
11 |
lions |
|
VIKINGS |
8½ |
bengals |
|
BUCS |
2½ |
jets |
|
TITANS |
8½ |
rams |
|
JAGUARS |
3 |
dolphins |
|
BEARS |
3½ |
packers |
|
Redskins |
2½ |
RAIDERS |
|
COWBOYS |
3 |
chargers |
|
GIANTS |
3 |
eagles |
|
Monday, Dec. 14 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
49ERS |
PK |
cardinals |
|
WEEK 15, Thursday, Dec. 17 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
JAGUARS |
1 |
Colts |
|
Saturday, Dec. 19 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
SAINTS |
2½ |
cowboys |
|
Sunday, Dec. 20 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
CHIEFS |
3 |
browns |
|
JETS |
PK |
falcons |
|
TITANS |
6 |
dolphins |
|
EAGLES |
8½ |
49ers |
|
Patriots |
5 |
BILLS |
|
Cardinals |
5 |
LIONS |
|
STEELERS |
7 |
packers |
|
RAVENS |
5 |
bears |
|
Texans |
3 |
RAMS |
|
BRONCOS |
5 |
raiders |
|
CHARGERS |
9 |
bengals |
|
SEAHAWKS |
3½ |
bucs |
|
PANTHERS |
3 |
vikings |
|
Monday, Dec. 21 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
Giants |
2 |
REDSKINS |
|
WEEK 16, Friday, Dec. 25 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
TITANS |
2½ |
chargers |
|
Sunday, Dec. 27 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
SAINTS |
7 |
bucs |
|
FALCONS |
5 |
bills |
|
EAGLES |
7 |
broncos |
|
DOLPHINS |
2 |
texans |
|
PACKERS |
5½ |
seahawks |
|
GIANTS |
4½ |
panthers |
|
BROWNS |
4 |
raiders |
|
PATRIOTS |
8½ |
jaguars |
|
BENGALS |
1½ |
chiefs |
|
STEELERS |
5 |
ravens |
|
CARDINALS |
7 |
rams |
|
49ERS |
7 |
lions |
|
COLTS |
7 |
jets |
|
Cowboys |
1 |
REDSKINS |
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Monday, Dec. 28 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
BEARS |
2½ |
vikings |
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WEEK 17, Sunday, Jan. 3 |
|
favorite |
line |
underdog |
|
RAMS |
PK |
49ers |
|
VIKINGS |
1 |
giants |
|
BROWNS |
1 |
jaguars |
|
Steelers |
1½ |
dolphins |
|
Patriots |
3½ |
TEXANS |
|
BUCS |
PK |
falcons |
|
PANTHERS |
3 |
saints |
|
JETS |
4½ |
bengals |
|
COWBOYS |
2½ |
eagles |
|
Colts |
1 |
BILLS |
|
Bears |
4½ |
LIONS |
|
CHARGERS |
4 |
redskins |
|
Ravens |
4 |
RAIDERS |
|
BRONCOS |
3½ |
chiefs |
|
CARDINALS |
3 |
packers |
|
Titans |
2 |
SEAHAWKS |
It's relaxing to go out with my wife because she already knows I'm an idiot.”
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-
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jimmythegreek


- Joined on 01-13-2008
- Vegas Baby
- Posts 1,516
|
Re: Interesting Favre simulation
For you gamblers
Week 1 Bengals - 1 1/2 vs Broncos
Week 2 Steelers - 2 1/2 at Bears
Week 2 Colts - 2 1/2 vs dolphins
Week 13 Bengals - 6 vs lions
Week 17 Texans + 3 1/2 vs Pats
Week 17 Redskins + 4 vs Chargers
Good luck
It's relaxing to go out with my wife because she already knows I'm an idiot.”
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