Interesting Favre simulation

Last post 07-07-2009 3:06 PM by jimmythegreek. 17 replies.
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  • 07-07-2009 10:48 AM In reply to

    Re: Interesting Favre simulation

    ike1024:

    malaisej:

    ike1024:

    Well, it's actuallt 2300 or so with Favre.

    They actually have MN favored in 15 of the 16 games (only not favored against AZ).

     In week 7 Minny is AT Pittsburgh, I would be shocked if the Steelers would be less than a 3 point favorite.  My guess would be Steelers -4.5.

     Did the sim miss that game?  Or did it have the Vikings favored?

    Without Favre, it has MN winning 55% of the time with an average score 18-18.

    With Favre, it has MN winning 51% of the time with an average score 18-18.

    It seems like the engine really thinks that whatever Favre does above TJ and Sage, that it will be canceled out by his turnovers (especially against high TO defenses) and the decrease in running game.  No idea if that's true obviously, but it's interesting that an unbiased computer comes out that way.

    EDIT: They have the Steelers 2nd in their initial power rankings and MN 8th (the Packers are 25th and the sim is clearly not a fan of the defense).  It must like how the Vikings match up with the Steelers, which actually makes some sense, even though the Steelers are probably the better overall team.

     

    Either way, it is an interesting site, that I have checked out from time to time.  Since it is computer based there are a lot of things it cannot consider, but it serves its purpose in entertainment value. 

    I still find it odd that it would have the Vikings favored.  I would assume it would take something out of the ordinary for it to favor a team lower in its ratings over another, especially when the teams were separated by 6 spots in its own rating, and the Steelers are home. 

    Are the Vikes favored over Carolina also?  The site must like the Vikings more than their own ratings indicate.

  • 07-07-2009 2:55 PM In reply to

    Re: Interesting Favre simulation

    malaisej:

    ike1024:

    Well, it's actuallt 2300 or so with Favre.

    They actually have MN favored in 15 of the 16 games (only not favored against AZ).

     In week 7 Minny is AT Pittsburgh, I would be shocked if the Steelers would be less than a 3 point favorite.  My guess would be Steelers -4.5.

     Did the sim miss that game?  Or did it have the Vikings favored?

    Here ya go.  Steelers - 5 1/2

     

    Copyright 2009 GamingToday
    NFL LINES c/o ‘M’ Resort
    WEEK 2, Sunday, Sept. 20
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    TITANS
    texans
    FALCONS
    panthers
    Vikings
    6
    LIONS
    JAGUARS
    2
    cardinals
    CHIEFS
    5
    raiders
    EAGLES
    saints
    PACKERS
    bengals
    REDSKINS
    7
    rams
    Patriots
    6
    NY JETS
    BILLS
    bucs
    49ERS
    2
    seahawks
    CHARGERS
    ravens
    Steelers
    BEARS
    BRONCOS
    4
    browns
    COWBOYS
    2
    giants
    Monday, Sept. 21
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Colts
    DOLPHINS
    WEEK 3, Sunday, Sept. 27
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    EAGLES
    9
    chiefs
    Redskins
    LIONS
    Packers
    3
    RAMS
    VIKINGS
    6
    49ers
    Titans
    2
    JETS
    Steelers
    BENGALS
    PATRIOTS
    falcons
    TEXANS
    jaguars
    Giants
    4
    BUCS
    RAVENS
    browns
    SEAHAWKS
    1
    bears
    BILLS
    1
    saints
    CHARGERS
    7
    dolphins
    RAIDERS
    PK
    broncos
    CARDINALS
    1
    colts
    Monday, Sept. 28
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    COWBOYS
    4
    panthers
    WEEK 4, Sunday, Oct. 4
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    REDSKINS
    5
    bucs
    PATRIOTS
    ravens
    Titans
    JAGUARS
    TEXANS
    8
    raiders
    BROWNS
    3
    bengals
    COLTS
    9
    seahawks
    Giants
    CHIEFS
    BEARS
    lions
    DOLPHINS
    3
    bills
    SAINTS
    jets
    49ERS
    rams
    Cowboys
    BRONCOS
    STEELERS
    chargers
    Monday, Oct. 5
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    VIKINGS
    packers
    WEEK 5, Sunday, Oct. 11
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    RAVENS
    8
    bengals
    EAGLES
    bucs
    BILLS
    browns
    Steelers
    LIONS
    PANTHERS
    redskins
    Cowboys
    CHIEFS
    GIANTS
    11
    Raiders
    Vikings
    RAMS
    49ERS
    1
    falcons
    CARDINALS
    texans
    Patriots
    5
    BRONCOS
    SEAHAWKS
    1
    jaguars
    TITANS
    2
    colts
    Monday, Oct. 12
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    DOLPHINS
    3
    jets
    WEEK 6, Sunday, Oct. 18
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    JAGUARS
    7
    rams
    REDSKINS
    chiefs
    TEXANS
    bengals
    VIKINGS
    ravens
    PACKERS
    9
    lions
    STEELERS
    browns
    Panthers
    BUCS
    SAINTS
    1
    giants
    Cardinals
    1
    SEAHAWKS
    Eagles
    6
    RAIDERS
    JETS
    bills
    PATRIOTS
    7
    titans
    FALCONS
    3
    bears
    Monday, Oct. 19
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    CHARGERS
    broncos
    WEEK 7, Sunday, Oct. 25
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Colts
    7
    RAMS
    STEELERS
    vikings
    Patriots
    9
    BUCS
    Bears
    2
    BENGALS
    Chargers
    4
    CHIEFS
    Packers
    BROWNS
    TEXANS
    49ers
    PANTHERS
    bills
    Jets
    RAIDERS
    COWBOYS
    4
    falcons
    DOLPHINS
    PK
    saints
    GIANTS
    7
    cardinals
    Monday, Oct. 26
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Eagles
    REDSKINS
    WEEK 8, Sunday, Nov. 1
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    COWBOYS
    7
    seahawks
    BILLS
    texans
    PACKERS
    vikings
    LIONS
    1
    rams
    JETS
    2
    dolphins
    COLTS
    49ers
    BEARS
    browns
    RAVENS
    7
    broncos
    TITANS
    jaguars
    CHARGERS
    10½
    raiders
    EAGLES
    giants
    CARDINALS
    panthers
    Monday, Nov. 2
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    SAINTS
    falcons
    WEEK 9, Sunday, Nov. 8
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Ravens
    4
    BENGALS
    PATRIOTS
    dolphins
    JAGUARS
    chiefs
    BUCS
    packers
    FALCONS
    4
    redskins
    BEARS
    4
    cardinals
    COLTS
    texans
    SAINTS
    3
    panthers
    SEAHAWKS
    lions
    Titans
    49ERS
    GIANTS
    chargers
    EAGLES
    cowboys
    Monday, Nov. 9
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Steelers
    4
    BRONCOS
    WEEK 10, Thursday, Nov. 12
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    49ERS
    1
    bears
    Sunday, Nov. 15
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    VIKINGS
    lions
    REDSKINS
    4
    broncos
    DOLPHINS
    bucs
    TITANS
    bills
    SAINTS
    rams
    JETS
    jaguars
    PANTHERS
    3
    falcons
    STEELERS
    bengals
    RAIDERS
    1
    chiefs
    PACKERS
    cowboys
    CHARGERS
    3
    eagles
    CARDINALS
    4
    seahawks
    Patriots
    2
    COLTS
    Monday, Nov. 16
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Ravens
    BROWNS
    WEEK 11, Thursday, Nov. 19
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    PANTHERS
    dolphins
    Sunday, Nov. 22
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Steelers
    5
    CHIEFS
    RAVENS
    2
    colts
    PACKERS
    49ers
    JAGUARS
    3
    bills
    GIANTS
    falcons
    BUCS
    saints
    Browns
    3
    LIONS
    COWBOYS
    redskins
    VIKINGS
    seahawks
    Cardinals
    3
    RAMS
    PATRIOTS
    jets
    Chargers
    3
    BRONCOS
    RAIDERS
    PK
    bengals
    BEARS^t
    1
    eagles
    Monday, Nov. 23
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    TEXANS
    2
    titans
    WEEK 12, Thursday, Nov. 26
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Packers
    5
    LIONS
    COWBOYS
    raiders
    Giants
    BRONCOS
    Sunday, Nov. 29
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    BILLS
    dolphins
    RAMS
    PK
    seahawks
    EAGLES
    redskins
    FALCONS
    bucs
    TITANS
    5
    cardinals
    Colts
    1
    TEXANS
    BENGALS
    3
    browns
    VIKINGS
    bears
    Panthers
    1
    NY^tJETS
    CHARGERS
    chiefs
    49ERS
    jaguars
    RAVENS
    1
    steelers
    Monday, Nov. 30
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Patriots
    SAINTS
    WEEK 13, Thursday, Dec. 3
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    BILLS
    3
    jets
    Sunday, Dec. 6
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    BEARS
    rams
    PANTHERS
    bucs
    JAGUARS
    2
    texans
    CHIEFS
    2
    broncos
    COLTS
    4
    titans
    FALCONS
    1
    eagles
    REDSKINS
    1
    saints
    STEELERS
    11
    raiders
    BENGALS
    6
    lions
    Chargers
    BROWNS
    GIANTS
    4
    cowboys
    SEAHAWKS
    49ers
    CARDINALS
    Vikings
    Patriots
    5
    DOLPHINS
    Monday, Dec. 7
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    PACKERS
    ravens
    WEEK 14, Thursday, Dec. 10
    favorite
    line
    underdog^t
    Steelers
    BROWNS
    Sunday, Dec. 13
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    FALCONS
    saints
    COLTS
    broncos
    TEXANS
    6
    seahawks
    PATRIOTS
    panthers
    CHIEFS
    1
    bills
    RAVENS
    11
    lions
    VIKINGS
    bengals
    BUCS
    jets
    TITANS
    rams
    JAGUARS
    3
    dolphins
    BEARS
    packers
    Redskins
    RAIDERS
    COWBOYS
    3
    chargers
    GIANTS
    3
    eagles
    Monday, Dec. 14
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    49ERS
    PK
    cardinals
    WEEK 15, Thursday, Dec. 17
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    JAGUARS
    1
    Colts
    Saturday, Dec. 19
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    SAINTS
    cowboys
    Sunday, Dec. 20
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    CHIEFS
    3
    browns
    JETS
    PK
    falcons
    TITANS
    6
    dolphins
    EAGLES
    49ers
    Patriots
    5
    BILLS
    Cardinals
    5
    LIONS
    STEELERS
    7
    packers
    RAVENS
    5
    bears
    Texans
    3
    RAMS
    BRONCOS
    5
    raiders
    CHARGERS
    9
    bengals
    SEAHAWKS
    bucs
    PANTHERS
    3
    vikings
    Monday, Dec. 21
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    Giants
    2
    REDSKINS
    WEEK 16, Friday, Dec. 25
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    TITANS
    chargers
    Sunday, Dec. 27
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    SAINTS
    7
    bucs
    FALCONS
    5
    bills
    EAGLES
    7
    broncos
    DOLPHINS
    2
    texans
    PACKERS
    seahawks
    GIANTS
    panthers
    BROWNS
    4
    raiders
    PATRIOTS
    jaguars
    BENGALS
    chiefs
    STEELERS
    5
    ravens
    CARDINALS
    7
    rams
    49ERS
    7
    lions
    COLTS
    7
    jets
    Cowboys
    1
    REDSKINS
    Monday, Dec. 28
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    BEARS
    vikings
    WEEK 17, Sunday, Jan. 3
    favorite
    line
    underdog
    RAMS
    PK
    49ers
    VIKINGS
    1
    giants
    BROWNS
    1
    jaguars
    Steelers
    dolphins
    Patriots
    TEXANS
    BUCS
    PK
    falcons
    PANTHERS
    3
    saints
    JETS
    bengals
    COWBOYS
    eagles
    Colts
    1
    BILLS
    Bears
    LIONS
    CHARGERS
    4
    redskins
    Ravens
    4
    RAIDERS
    BRONCOS
    chiefs
    CARDINALS
    3
    packers
    Titans
    2
    SEAHAWKS

    It's relaxing to go out with my wife because she already knows I'm an idiot.”
  • 07-07-2009 3:06 PM In reply to

    Re: Interesting Favre simulation

    For you gamblers

    Week 1  Bengals - 1 1/2 vs Broncos

    Week 2  Steelers - 2 1/2 at Bears

    Week 2  Colts - 2 1/2 vs dolphins

    Week 13  Bengals - 6 vs lions

    Week 17 Texans + 3 1/2 vs Pats

    Week 17  Redskins + 4 vs Chargers

     

    Good luck

     

    It's relaxing to go out with my wife because she already knows I'm an idiot.”
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